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Red110
425520.6
293040.3
161951.5
Blue125
715743.9
97148.6
703450.5
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11716750100150200250110125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#28
51.50.7
51.050.3
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
red by 1.1
50.51.7
53.852.1
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
Second
2930
#30
40.30.7
39.538.8
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
blue by 8.2
971
#13
48.61.7
49.748.0
Auto17.9
Teleop25.2
End5.5
Third
4255
#36
20.60.7
26.025.3
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 23.4
7157
#12
43.91.7
47.245.5
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsMissed99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
91%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned