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Red131
69639.2
60449.6
64939.1
Blue144
680055.2
364747.0
510436.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132146100200131144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
604
#11
49.60.4
48.849.2
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
blue by 5.6
55.20.3
52.352.7
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
Second
696
#32
39.20.4
37.938.2
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
blue by 7.9
3647
#10
47.00.3
49.649.9
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
Third
649
#22
39.10.4
39.039.3
Auto11.0
Teleop20.3
End7.8
red by 2.9
5104
#27
36.20.3
33.433.7
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned68%Hangar oddsEarned