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Red174
204651.8
449960.4
331052.6
Blue142
281328.8
803340.8
161951.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17911250100150200250174142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.41.0
53.154.1
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
red by 8.9
1619
#28
51.51.9
50.352.2
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
Second
52.61.0
57.658.6
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
red by 11.7
8033
#23
40.81.9
37.739.6
Auto12.5
Teleop26.1
End2.2
Third
2046
#14
51.81.0
48.649.5
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
red by 23.0
2813
#31
28.81.9
25.827.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned94%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsMissed