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Red180
97148.6
347847.1
167876.8
Blue105
169062.3
325629.2
441460.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions181155100200250180105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.80.9
74.475.3
Auto18.7
Teleop44.9
End13.2
red by 14.5
1690
#18
62.32.9
62.859.9
Auto20.3
Teleop33.3
End8.7
Second
971
#13
48.60.9
48.048.9
Auto17.9
Teleop25.2
End5.5
blue by 11.4
60.02.9
58.155.1
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
Third
3478
#26
47.10.9
43.944.8
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
red by 17.9
3256
#35
29.22.9
27.724.8
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
99%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
97%Hangar oddsMissed92%Hangar oddsEarned