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Red180
680055.2
293040.3
97349.1
Blue155
347847.1
550729.8
291061.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions142144100110120130150160170180180155

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.23.0
54.257.2
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
blue by 6.5
61.71.4
61.062.4
Auto18.2
Teleop31.6
End12.0
Second
973
#17
49.13.0
46.249.2
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
red by 2.0
3478
#26
47.11.4
45.947.3
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
Third
2930
#30
40.33.0
34.737.7
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
red by 10.5
5507
#34
29.81.4
26.527.9
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsEarned