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Red188
60449.6
97148.6
169062.3
Blue129
69439.2
84639.3
594055.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17214650100200250300188129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1690
#18
62.32.0
60.862.8
Auto20.3
Teleop33.3
End8.7
red by 7.3
55.00.7
59.258.5
Auto14.9
Teleop31.9
End8.1
Second
604
#11
49.62.0
46.448.4
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
red by 10.3
846
#20
39.30.7
41.140.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
Third
971
#13
48.62.0
50.952.9
Auto17.9
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 9.4
694
#24
39.20.7
39.738.9
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
96%Hangar oddsEarned94%Hangar oddsEarned