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Red135
703450.5
25462.8
11432.8
Blue136
347645.6
510436.2
449960.4
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions167147100200250135136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
254
#21
62.81.6
64.362.8
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
red by 2.4
60.40.3
57.957.6
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
Second
50.51.6
56.354.8
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
red by 4.9
3476
#16
45.60.3
47.146.8
Auto12.2
Teleop24.8
End8.6
Third
114
#33
32.81.6
33.932.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
blue by 3.3
5104
#27
36.20.3
35.735.4
Auto10.1
Teleop20.0
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned97%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
98%Hangar oddsMissed83%Hangar oddsEarned