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Red107
69639.2
49827.5
293040.3
Blue186
441460.0
161951.5
603647.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9817950150200250300107186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#30
40.30.3
37.738.0
Auto12.3
Teleop19.9
End8.1
blue by 19.7
60.01.6
57.258.8
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
Second
696
#32
39.20.3
40.040.3
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
blue by 12.4
1619
#28
51.51.6
53.855.4
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
Third
498
#29
27.50.3
24.624.9
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End6.9
blue by 19.9
6036
#19
47.41.6
46.748.3
Auto16.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsMissed87%Hangar oddsEarned