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Red113
84639.3
425520.6
364747.0
Blue146
69439.2
97349.1
394044.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11614650100200250113146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3647
#10
47.00.0
49.849.8
Auto17.1
Teleop21.9
End8.1
blue by 2.1
973
#17
49.10.9
49.250.1
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
Second
846
#20
39.30.0
40.440.4
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
blue by 5.7
3940
#15
44.90.9
45.145.9
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
Third
4255
#36
20.60.0
22.222.2
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 18.6
694
#24
39.20.9
38.939.8
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
96%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
59%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsEarned