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Red130
69639.2
550729.8
594055.0
Blue218
167876.8
449960.4
715743.9
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12320450100150250300130218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
55.00.3
56.857.0
Auto14.9
Teleop31.9
End8.1
blue by 21.8
76.81.7
77.379.0
Auto18.7
Teleop44.9
End13.2
Second
696
#32
39.20.3
39.339.6
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
blue by 21.3
60.41.7
59.361.0
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
Third
5507
#34
29.80.3
29.730.0
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
blue by 14.2
7157
#12
43.91.7
44.446.0
Auto13.6
Teleop26.1
End4.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsMissed96%Hangar oddsEarned