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Red133
84639.3
394044.9
248641.8
Blue182
347847.1
60449.6
204651.8
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13315750100200133182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3940
#15
44.90.1
45.946.0
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
blue by 6.8
2046
#14
51.82.5
50.052.5
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
Second
2486
#25
41.80.1
41.441.5
Auto10.0
Teleop22.6
End9.2
blue by 7.8
604
#11
49.62.5
48.851.3
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
Third
846
#20
39.30.1
40.440.5
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
blue by 7.8
3478
#26
47.12.5
45.848.3
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
97%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
92%Hangar oddsEarned85%Hangar oddsEarned