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Red99
441460.0
97221.7
281328.8
Blue133
425520.6
703450.5
603647.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121134608010016018020099133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.3
60.859.4
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
red by 9.6
50.50.5
53.753.2
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
Second
2813
#31
28.81.3
30.128.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.4
End7.9
blue by 18.6
6036
#19
47.40.5
48.347.8
Auto16.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Third
972
#39
21.71.3
24.323.0
Auto6.6
Teleop7.8
End7.2
red by 1.1
4255
#36
20.60.5
22.221.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
86%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned81%Hangar oddsMissed