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Red157
97349.1
449960.4
97148.6
Blue154
11432.8
347645.6
680055.2
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178135100150200250157154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.40.3
61.060.7
Auto13.0
Teleop34.6
End12.9
red by 5.2
55.21.2
54.355.5
Auto13.3
Teleop31.7
End10.2
Second
973
#17
49.10.3
50.149.8
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
red by 3.6
3476
#16
45.61.2
45.246.4
Auto12.2
Teleop24.8
End8.6
Third
971
#13
48.60.3
50.350.0
Auto17.9
Teleop25.2
End5.5
red by 15.7
114
#33
32.81.2
32.733.8
Auto6.2
Teleop18.4
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned99%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned92%Hangar oddsEarned