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Red178
594055.0
35947.1
167876.8
Blue146
25462.8
69439.2
49827.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions211129100150250300178146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.81.2
79.077.8
Auto18.7
Teleop44.9
End13.2
red by 14.0
254
#21
62.81.0
63.064.0
Auto15.0
Teleop36.9
End10.9
Second
55.01.2
57.055.9
Auto14.9
Teleop31.9
End8.1
red by 15.8
694
#24
39.21.0
41.642.5
Auto13.0
Teleop17.2
End9.0
Third
359
#8
47.11.2
51.550.4
Auto9.8
Teleop27.3
End10.0
red by 19.6
498
#29
27.51.0
27.128.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.7
End6.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned98%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
99%Hangar oddsEarned97%Hangar oddsEarned