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Red82
317527.2
347847.1
425520.6
Blue153
69639.2
291061.7
204651.8
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9517605015020025082153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3478
#26
47.11.2
48.347.1
Auto11.4
Teleop32.5
End3.2
blue by 14.6
61.70.4
63.362.9
Auto18.2
Teleop31.6
End12.0
Second
3175
#37
27.21.2
29.528.3
Auto9.2
Teleop15.8
End2.1
blue by 24.6
2046
#14
51.80.4
52.552.0
Auto15.5
Teleop27.6
End8.6
Third
4255
#36
20.61.2
21.720.6
Auto7.5
Teleop7.7
End5.3
blue by 18.6
696
#32
39.20.4
39.639.2
Auto12.4
Teleop22.1
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsMissed100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
11%Hangar oddsMissed88%Hangar oddsEarned