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Red108
161951.5
84639.3
325629.2
Blue129
603647.4
550729.8
394044.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13513150100150200108129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1619
#28
51.51.2
55.254.0
Auto16.4
Teleop22.5
End12.6
red by 4.2
6036
#19
47.40.2
47.847.7
Auto16.3
Teleop26.2
End4.9
Second
846
#20
39.31.2
40.539.3
Auto12.5
Teleop19.0
End7.8
blue by 5.7
3940
#15
44.90.2
46.045.8
Auto11.7
Teleop22.5
End10.7
Third
3256
#35
29.21.2
30.429.2
Auto8.3
Teleop13.1
End7.9
blue by 0.6
5507
#34
29.80.2
30.029.8
Auto11.7
Teleop13.2
End4.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
95%Cargo oddsMissed96%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
87%Hangar oddsEarned82%Hangar oddsMissed