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Red174
60449.6
803340.8
441460.0
Blue156
97349.1
331052.6
703450.5
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158168050100200250300350174156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.01.6
59.461.0
Auto14.4
Teleop38.2
End7.4
red by 7.5
52.60.3
53.753.4
Auto13.3
Teleop27.8
End11.5
Second
604
#11
49.61.6
51.352.9
Auto10.4
Teleop26.8
End12.4
blue by 0.9
50.50.3
53.252.9
Auto15.2
Teleop25.8
End9.5
Third
8033
#23
40.81.6
39.240.8
Auto12.5
Teleop26.1
End2.2
blue by 8.3
973
#17
49.10.3
49.849.5
Auto11.4
Teleop31.6
End6.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
100%Cargo oddsEarned100%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned95%Hangar oddsMissed