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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions586302040801001201406566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#30
31.30.6
22.823.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 2.1
384
#34
29.20.0
27.627.5
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
2421
#25
23.70.6
16.617.3
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
red by 5.9
2914
#50
17.70.0
17.117.1
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
3274
#56
16.30.6
16.016.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 1.2
2537
#18
17.60.0
13.913.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed31%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
74%Hangar oddsEarned35%Hangar oddsMissed