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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48712040608010062100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
686
#12
22.90.9
17.918.8
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
blue by 16.4
836
#1
39.32.2
32.434.6
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
4821
#20
21.40.9
17.618.5
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
red by 0.1
4638
#22
21.32.2
16.518.6
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
Third
1719
#43
14.20.9
12.513.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
blue by 4.7
2377
#39
19.02.2
14.616.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
33%Cargo oddsEarned32%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
13%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned