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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6174020401001201407268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.9
28.829.7
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 0.9
384
#34
29.20.5
29.829.2
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
Second
6504
#23
17.00.9
15.116.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
blue by 1.9
2377
#39
19.00.5
18.718.2
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
8592
#49
14.70.9
14.715.6
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
blue by 4.2
6802
#58
18.90.5
19.619.0
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
61%Cargo oddsEarned71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
27%Hangar oddsEarned19%Hangar oddsMissed