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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636702040801001201406278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5804
#32
27.80.4
28.728.3
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
red by 0.3
4472
#24
27.50.8
25.025.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Second
4242
#42
17.20.4
17.216.9
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
blue by 5.4
116
#33
22.70.8
21.221.9
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Third
1719
#43
14.20.4
13.813.4
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
blue by 3.1
2068
#53
17.30.8
16.317.0
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsMissed53%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
82%Hangar oddsEarned52%Hangar oddsEarned