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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions698040601001208786

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#19
29.30.6
27.628.2
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
blue by 2.0
3136
#30
31.30.8
30.531.3
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Second
4541
#10
27.10.6
25.426.0
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
blue by 3.6
422
#15
30.60.8
29.930.7
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Third
3748
#48
13.90.6
13.413.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
blue by 0.3
1719
#43
14.20.8
13.414.2
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
62%Cargo oddsMissed65%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
63%Hangar oddsEarned83%Hangar oddsEarned