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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions647820401001206075

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#26
20.70.1
19.819.6
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 10.8
31.50.3
33.132.8
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
Second
620
#21
20.30.1
23.323.1
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
blue by 0.7
614
#28
21.00.3
21.821.5
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End7.8
Third
6802
#58
18.90.1
19.018.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
red by 2.4
4286
#46
16.60.3
16.916.6
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed82%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
76%Hangar oddsEarned67%Hangar oddsEarned