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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions397302060801005879

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8230
#45
18.10.9
17.218.1
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.6
blue by 9.7
5804
#32
27.80.7
28.329.1
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
Second
2914
#50
17.70.9
16.817.7
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
blue by 1.2
2377
#39
19.00.7
18.219.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
8622
#60
7.40.9
6.57.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
blue by 10.6
888
#54
18.00.7
17.218.0
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
9%Hangar oddsMissed35%Hangar oddsEarned