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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91734060801001201409548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
836
#1
39.30.8
41.342.1
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
red by 11.4
1262
#41
27.91.5
29.427.9
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
686
#12
22.90.8
22.723.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
blue by 0.4
1599
#36
23.31.5
24.823.3
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
Third
1895
#35
20.00.8
19.320.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
red by 5.2
5549
#55
14.91.5
16.414.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
92%Cargo oddsEarned57%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned64%Hangar oddsMissed