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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485602040801004259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3274
#56
16.30.3
16.616.3
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
blue by 3.4
2199
#51
19.70.3
19.419.7
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
Second
7770
#29
15.40.3
15.615.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End8.6
blue by 3.4
8726
#38
18.80.3
18.618.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
612
#40
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
blue by 0.1
6326
#44
13.40.3
13.113.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
17%Cargo oddsMissed17%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
71%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned