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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7773405060901001101208788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#16
30.31.0
30.331.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 0.3
30.00.7
30.331.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Second
4472
#24
27.51.0
25.726.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
red by 4.8
116
#33
22.70.7
21.922.7
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Third
6504
#23
17.01.0
16.017.0
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
blue by 0.6
2537
#18
17.60.7
16.817.6
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned59%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
57%Hangar oddsEarned80%Hangar oddsEarned