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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions825102040601001206855

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#11
24.80.3
26.426.1
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 2.1
5338
#27
22.70.1
22.722.7
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Second
7429
#17
23.10.3
24.724.4
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
red by 7.3
3939
#47
15.80.1
15.815.8
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
Third
4821
#20
21.40.3
21.721.4
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
red by 8.2
2186
#57
13.30.1
13.313.3
Auto4.7
Teleop4.5
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
91%Cargo oddsEarned56%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsMissed55%Hangar oddsEarned