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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions61553040507080906061

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#10
27.10.2
20.620.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
red by 3.4
2421
#25
23.70.6
17.317.9
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
Second
116
#33
22.70.2
17.117.3
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
Level
5338
#27
22.70.6
19.319.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Third
1727
#52
15.10.2
19.219.4
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End4.4
blue by 0.3
7770
#29
15.40.6
15.816.4
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
28%Cargo oddsMissed24%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
78%Hangar oddsEarned73%Hangar oddsEarned