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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50632040801007758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
620
#21
20.30.5
19.319.8
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
blue by 10.3
422
#15
30.60.0
24.024.0
Auto7.8
Teleop13.8
End9.1
Second
1123
#37
19.70.5
18.318.8
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
red by 2.0
2914
#50
17.70.0
17.117.1
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
6504
#23
17.00.5
11.211.8
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
red by 0.7
3274
#56
16.30.0
16.616.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
26%Cargo oddsEarned33%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
80%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsEarned