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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions845440601001206759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#34
29.20.5
26.425.9
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
red by 6.2
686
#12
22.90.3
18.818.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
Second
5804
#32
27.80.5
27.226.7
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
red by 6.8
614
#28
21.00.3
21.220.9
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End7.8
Third
122
#11
24.80.5
21.120.6
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
red by 10.8
3748
#48
13.90.3
14.714.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
44%Cargo oddsEarned67%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsMissed32%Hangar oddsEarned