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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54772040601001208177

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.91.6
29.330.9
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
red by 0.6
3136
#30
31.30.5
24.925.4
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
Second
4286
#46
16.61.6
13.715.3
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
blue by 13.4
30.00.5
25.626.1
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End6.4
Third
612
#40
13.31.6
10.612.1
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
blue by 8.1
4821
#20
21.40.5
18.519.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
37%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
39%Hangar oddsEarned41%Hangar oddsEarned