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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60542040801007051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#14
29.30.7
28.028.7
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 0.1
1086
#19
29.30.3
25.124.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
Second
2537
#18
17.60.7
13.614.3
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
blue by 5.1
5338
#27
22.70.3
19.919.6
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Third
8592
#49
14.70.7
13.814.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
red by 7.4
8622
#60
7.40.3
6.86.5
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
47%Cargo oddsEarned43%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
21%Hangar oddsEarned11%Hangar oddsMissed