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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5369204060801001205086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#26
20.70.1
15.515.3
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 11.3
32.01.6
28.930.4
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End11.6
Second
2199
#51
19.70.1
22.422.2
Auto4.3
Teleop6.1
End9.4
blue by 5.1
122
#11
24.81.6
21.523.0
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Third
1719
#43
14.20.1
14.314.1
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
red by 0.9
612
#40
13.31.6
12.113.7
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
8%Cargo oddsMissed46%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
69%Hangar oddsEarned48%Hangar oddsEarned