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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions87664060801001209665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1908
#14
29.30.8
28.729.5
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
red by 1.5
1262
#41
27.90.0
24.724.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
Second
1086
#19
29.30.8
24.825.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 7.9
4821
#20
21.40.0
19.119.1
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
Third
384
#34
29.20.8
25.926.8
Auto9.3
Teleop15.2
End4.7
red by 10.3
8726
#38
18.80.0
20.820.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
81%Cargo oddsEarned80%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
43%Hangar oddsMissed21%Hangar oddsMissed