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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5250354045556065705439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#10
27.10.3
21.922.2
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
red by 8.2
6802
#58
18.90.5
17.416.9
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Second
2377
#39
19.00.3
17.517.8
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
red by 1.6
2068
#53
17.30.5
14.213.7
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Third
6194
#59
8.50.3
9.49.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 8.1
4286
#46
16.60.5
15.314.7
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
24%Cargo oddsMissed39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
66%Hangar oddsEarned21%Hangar oddsMissed