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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions636240507080908081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3136
#30
31.31.5
25.426.9
Auto7.9
Teleop18.0
End5.4
red by 1.9
401
#6
29.41.4
26.527.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Second
2537
#18
17.61.5
14.315.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
blue by 0.2
2914
#50
17.71.4
15.717.1
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Third
4242
#42
17.21.5
18.419.8
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
red by 2.2
1727
#52
15.11.4
17.619.0
Auto4.6
Teleop6.1
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
19%Cargo oddsEarned42%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsEarned36%Hangar oddsMissed