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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65854060801001201406296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
449
#31
29.10.1
25.725.5
Auto6.1
Teleop12.9
End10.1
blue by 17.1
46.21.0
50.451.4
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End5.7
Second
686
#12
22.90.1
18.618.5
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
blue by 4.6
4472
#24
27.51.0
20.821.7
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Third
5338
#27
22.70.1
19.619.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
red by 15.3
8622
#60
7.41.0
6.57.4
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
89%Cargo oddsEarned87%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
62%Hangar oddsEarned23%Hangar oddsEarned