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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions73572040801001208475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.51.1
25.426.6
Auto7.7
Teleop14.6
End9.2
red by 8.4
7429
#17
23.11.3
23.224.5
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
Second
5804
#32
27.81.1
26.727.9
Auto7.8
Teleop10.2
End9.7
red by 6.4
4638
#22
21.31.3
18.720.0
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
Third
7770
#29
15.41.1
14.615.8
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End8.6
blue by 1.6
6504
#23
17.01.3
14.015.3
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsEarned29%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
79%Hangar oddsEarned46%Hangar oddsEarned