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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions86472040601001201406972

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#16
30.30.4
28.928.5
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 6.6
2421
#25
23.71.0
20.121.1
Auto4.5
Teleop6.2
End13.0
Second
30.00.4
26.125.7
Auto7.9
Teleop15.8
End6.4
red by 15.3
8592
#49
14.71.0
14.515.5
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Third
620
#21
20.30.4
20.520.0
Auto3.4
Teleop4.8
End12.1
red by 6.4
3748
#48
13.91.0
14.515.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
58%Cargo oddsEarned27%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsMissed51%Hangar oddsEarned