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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions548920408010012014016065105

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1895
#35
20.00.4
15.516.0
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
blue by 19.2
836
#1
39.31.7
35.437.1
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
1123
#37
19.70.4
18.919.3
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
blue by 12.2
31.91.7
30.932.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
Third
888
#54
18.00.4
20.320.7
Auto5.0
Teleop7.4
End5.6
red by 4.6
6326
#44
13.41.7
12.714.4
Auto4.3
Teleop6.4
End2.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
14%Cargo oddsEarned69%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
70%Hangar oddsMissed82%Hangar oddsEarned