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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions775620401001207873

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#19
29.30.6
25.626.2
Auto6.3
Teleop16.6
End6.5
red by 4.5
122
#11
24.80.9
20.621.5
Auto8.0
Teleop12.0
End4.8
Second
1610
#13
28.10.6
25.025.6
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
red by 7.1
614
#28
21.00.9
21.222.1
Auto6.0
Teleop7.2
End7.8
Third
4821
#20
21.40.6
19.119.6
Auto6.3
Teleop11.9
End3.2
red by 4.1
2068
#53
17.30.9
13.714.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsEarned47%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
28%Hangar oddsMissed37%Hangar oddsEarned