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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions555545506065706746

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5587
#26
20.71.0
15.316.3
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 6.4
4541
#10
27.10.4
22.221.8
Auto6.2
Teleop7.7
End13.2
Second
8726
#38
18.81.0
20.821.8
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
red by 4.0
5549
#55
14.90.4
15.314.9
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.3
Third
2537
#18
17.61.0
15.816.8
Auto6.1
Teleop6.3
End5.1
red by 3.4
1719
#43
14.20.4
14.113.7
Auto4.4
Teleop4.9
End5.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
15%Cargo oddsMissed13%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
30%Hangar oddsEarned88%Hangar oddsEarned