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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66654050607080906279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.00.0
25.225.2
Auto9.1
Teleop17.1
End3.9
red by 0.6
401
#6
29.41.2
27.929.1
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Second
5338
#27
22.70.0
19.519.5
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
blue by 0.2
686
#12
22.91.2
18.519.6
Auto7.0
Teleop7.5
End8.4
Third
2914
#50
17.70.0
17.117.1
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
red by 1.2
4286
#46
16.61.2
14.715.9
Auto5.7
Teleop7.0
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
64%Cargo oddsEarned73%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
10%Hangar oddsMissed44%Hangar oddsEarned