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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1156640801001401601806692

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.7
51.448.7
Auto14.8
Teleop25.6
End5.7
red by 16.8
1908
#14
29.31.6
29.531.1
Auto7.5
Teleop15.0
End6.9
Second
32.02.7
30.427.8
Auto7.0
Teleop13.4
End11.6
red by 4.5
4472
#24
27.51.6
21.723.3
Auto7.2
Teleop13.9
End6.4
Third
4638
#22
21.32.7
20.017.3
Auto6.6
Teleop6.0
End8.7
red by 2.4
6802
#58
18.91.6
16.918.5
Auto6.5
Teleop7.9
End4.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
90%Cargo oddsMissed84%Cargo oddsEarned
Hangar
89%Hangar oddsEarned39%Hangar oddsEarned