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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79672040601001201406547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
32.632.1
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
blue by 7.4
836
#1
39.31.4
37.135.7
Auto13.6
Teleop17.6
End8.2
Second
7429
#17
23.10.5
24.524.0
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
red by 5.9
4242
#42
17.21.4
19.818.4
Auto5.6
Teleop4.0
End7.6
Third
7770
#29
15.40.5
15.815.3
Auto2.9
Teleop4.0
End8.6
red by 8.0
8622
#60
7.41.4
7.46.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.3
End-0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
39%Cargo oddsMissed42%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
83%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed