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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5452203040607080906357

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#33
22.70.6
18.619.2
Auto6.2
Teleop8.2
End8.3
red by 4.6
8230
#45
18.10.6
16.216.8
Auto4.8
Teleop9.7
End3.6
Second
1895
#35
20.00.6
16.016.6
Auto4.6
Teleop10.9
End4.5
red by 3.7
3274
#56
16.30.6
17.017.6
Auto5.4
Teleop4.1
End6.8
Third
3748
#48
13.90.6
15.516.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.7
End4.0
blue by 0.8
8592
#49
14.70.6
15.516.0
Auto4.4
Teleop8.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
21%Cargo oddsEarned14%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
40%Hangar oddsEarned43%Hangar oddsEarned