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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions795002040601001201406839

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5724
#16
30.30.2
28.528.3
Auto9.5
Teleop15.1
End5.7
red by 10.6
1123
#37
19.70.8
19.318.5
Auto5.2
Teleop7.7
End6.8
Second
1599
#36
23.30.2
23.122.9
Auto6.9
Teleop9.0
End7.4
red by 4.3
2377
#39
19.00.8
17.817.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.8
End2.4
Third
3939
#47
15.80.2
19.219.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.1
End5.8
red by 2.5
612
#40
13.30.8
13.712.9
Auto3.0
Teleop2.7
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
50%Cargo oddsEarned41%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
61%Hangar oddsEarned40%Hangar oddsMissed