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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions59692040801001205259

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1262
#41
27.90.3
24.123.8
Auto7.4
Teleop17.2
End3.4
blue by 1.5
401
#6
29.40.6
29.128.6
Auto10.2
Teleop12.4
End6.8
Second
5587
#26
20.70.3
16.316.0
Auto8.5
Teleop7.6
End4.7
blue by 2.0
5338
#27
22.70.6
19.518.9
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End6.2
Third
6504
#23
17.00.3
16.015.7
Auto5.7
Teleop6.7
End4.6
red by 2.1
5549
#55
14.90.6
14.914.3
Auto4.9
Teleop5.7
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
54%Cargo oddsMissed71%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
33%Hangar oddsMissed61%Hangar oddsEarned