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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions796520401001208450

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.5
32.132.6
Auto10.0
Teleop11.3
End10.6
red by 8.8
7429
#17
23.11.1
24.022.9
Auto6.4
Teleop12.0
End4.7
Second
1610
#13
28.10.5
25.626.1
Auto7.5
Teleop16.2
End4.3
red by 9.2
8726
#38
18.81.1
21.820.7
Auto5.1
Teleop9.2
End4.5
Third
2068
#53
17.30.5
14.615.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.5
End2.9
blue by 0.4
2914
#50
17.71.1
17.116.0
Auto10.2
Teleop5.3
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Cargo
74%Cargo oddsEarned39%Cargo oddsMissed
Hangar
81%Hangar oddsMissed18%Hangar oddsEarned